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Macro View

Macro View

The Soft-Landing Sweet Spot

Aug 18, 2026

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6 min read

The Soft-Landing Sweet Spot

Why weaker U.S. data could keep markets rising—until bad news becomes bad news again

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

AI Is Showing Up in Productivity. The Question Is Who Captures It

Aug 11, 2026

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5 min read

AI Is Showing Up in Productivity. The Question Is Who Captures It

AI’s productivity promise is finally showing up in the data—and PE may be where it matters most.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

America's Fiscal Crossroads: Why the National Debt Is Becoming the Defining Macro Variable for Investors

Aug 3, 2026

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4 min read

America's Fiscal Crossroads: Why the National Debt Is Becoming the Defining Macro Variable for Investors

How deficits, demographics, and rising interest costs are reshaping long-term investing.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

When the Stadium Lights Dim: From World Cup Boom to Geopolitical Risk

Jul 27, 2026

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2 min read

When the Stadium Lights Dim: From World Cup Boom to Geopolitical Risk

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

The Boomcession Economy: Strong Headlines, Weak Household Confidence

Jul 20, 2026

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4 min read

The Boomcession Economy: Strong Headlines, Weak Household Confidence

The U.S. economy is sending two very different signals.

Macro View

Stablecoins and the New Era of Digital Dollarization

Jul 13, 2026

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4 min read

Stablecoins and the New Era of Digital Dollarization

For decades, discussions about the U.S. dollar's global dominance centered on trade invoicing, foreign exchange reserves, and the role of U.S. capital markets.

Macro View

AI, Automation Risk, and the Future of Work

Jul 6, 2026

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4 min read

AI, Automation Risk, and the Future of Work

Artificial intelligence is rapidly shifting from an emerging technology to a core driver of productivity across the global economy.

Macro View

Bretton Woods 3.0: The New Architecture of Global Capital

Jun 30, 2026

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3 min read

Bretton Woods 3.0: The New Architecture of Global Capital

The global financial system is undergoing one of its most significant structural transformations since China's entry into the World Trade Organization more than two decades ago.

Macro View

U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Brings Relief to Oil Markets, but Risks in the Strait of Hormuz Persist

Jun 22, 2026

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4 min read

U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Brings Relief to Oil Markets, but Risks in the Strait of Hormuz Persist

The ceasefire agreement signed by the United States and Iran on June 17 marks a significant de-escalation in a conflict that had threatened one of the world's most important energy chokepoints.

Macro View

AI and the Labor Market: Early Signals, Not a Full Disruption

Jun 12, 2026

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4 min read

AI and the Labor Market: Early Signals, Not a Full Disruption

Artificial intelligence has rapidly moved from a futuristic concept to a mainstream business tool.

Macro View

AI, Productivity and the Solow Growth Channel: Why Higher A Matters Now

Jun 8, 2026

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5 min read

AI, Productivity and the Solow Growth Channel: Why Higher A Matters Now

AI as the New Engine of Solow Growth

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

Global Supply Chains Enter a New Phase of Persistent Friction

Jun 1, 2026

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5 min read

Global Supply Chains Enter a New Phase of Persistent Friction

Global supply chains are once again becoming a central macroeconomic concern.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

Economic Policy Uncertainty Reaches Levels Reminiscent of Past Global Crises

May 26, 2026

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3 min read

Economic Policy Uncertainty Reaches Levels Reminiscent of Past Global Crises

Global economic policy uncertainty has risen sharply over the past year, reaching levels that increasingly resemble periods associated with major systemic shocks such as the 2008 Global Financial Crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

The Structural Decline of U.S. Dollar Purchasing Power Since the Nixon Shock

May 18, 2026

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4 min read

The Structural Decline of U.S. Dollar Purchasing Power Since the Nixon Shock

The long-term erosion of the U.S. dollar’s purchasing power represents one of the most important macroeconomic developments of the modern financial era.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

Who Is Paying the Tariff?

May 11, 2026

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4 min read

Who Is Paying the Tariff?

The cleanest answer is also the least politically convenient one: American consumers and firms are paying most of it.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

The $80 Billion Tournament: How the 2026 FIFA World Cup Becomes a US Economic Engine

May 4, 2026

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3 min read

The $80 Billion Tournament: How the 2026 FIFA World Cup Becomes a US Economic Engine

The 2026 FIFA World Cup is not just expanding the game to 48 teams and 104 matches.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

The Dollar’s Softer Era Is Rewriting the Rules for Emerging Markets

Apr 27, 2026

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3 min read

The Dollar’s Softer Era Is Rewriting the Rules for Emerging Markets

The global monetary system is entering a more fluid phase.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

Human Capital to Financial Capital

Apr 20, 2026

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7 min read

Human Capital to Financial Capital

Education, Earnings Dynamics, and the Economics of Wealth Formation

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

Jobless Claims Rise to 219,000—Still Below Long-Term Averages

Apr 13, 2026

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7 min read

Jobless Claims Rise to 219,000—Still Below Long-Term Averages

U.S. initial jobless claims increased to 219,000 in the week ending April 4, up from 203,000 the prior week, marking a 7.9% week-over-week rise.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

Global Interest Rate Divergence and the Repricing of Sovereign Risk

Apr 6, 2026

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5 min read

Global Interest Rate Divergence and the Repricing of Sovereign Risk

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

Energy Shock, Central Banks and the New Macro Regime

Mar 31, 2026

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7 min read

Energy Shock, Central Banks and the New Macro Regime

The conflict in the Middle East has introduced a fresh negative supply shock into an already unsettled global economy.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

China’s Oil Gravity: Demand Dominance, Supply Diversification, and Geopolitical Fault Lines

Mar 24, 2026

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5 min read

China’s Oil Gravity: Demand Dominance, Supply Diversification, and Geopolitical Fault Lines

Demand Power Meets Supply Strategy — China Reshapes the Global Oil Map

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

Oil’s Return to $100: The Capital Cycle Behind the Energy Market

Mar 16, 2026

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7 min read

Oil’s Return to $100: The Capital Cycle Behind the Energy Market

Oil markets are once again approaching the psychologically important $100 per barrel level.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

Oil Markets Brace for Shock as Iran Escalation Threatens the Strait of Hormuz

Mar 9, 2026

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9 min read

Oil Markets Brace for Shock as Iran Escalation Threatens the Strait of Hormuz

The confrontation between Iran, vs United States and Israeñ has rapidly transformed from a geopolitical flashpoint into a global energy shock.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio

Macro View

Growth Accounting and Capital Deepening: Panel Evidence

Mar 2, 2026

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12 min read

Growth Accounting and Capital Deepening: Panel Evidence

This study uses a panel dataset of country-level macroeconomic variables commonly employed in growth accounting and productivity analysis.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Gaston Brizuela Bosio
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