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The Fed’s 25 bp cut: a careful step into an uncertain fall
Sep 23, 2025

The Fed’s 25 bp cut: a careful step into an uncertain fall

The Federal Reserve trimmed its benchmark rate by 25 basis points at its latest meeting, lowering the federal funds target range to 4.00%–4.25%, its first reduction since December.

Macro ViewMacro View
The US Job Market: Cooling Momentum and Rising Concerns
Sep 16, 2025

The US Job Market: Cooling Momentum and Rising Concerns

The American job market, long seen as the backbone of post-pandemic economic recovery, is showing signs of fatigue.

Macro ViewMacro View
Fiscal Dominance: Structural Debt Expansion, Monetary Growth, and Rising Risk Premiums
Sep 09, 2025

Fiscal Dominance: Structural Debt Expansion, Monetary Growth, and Rising Risk Premiums

The United States is exhibiting growing signs of fiscal dominance, a macroeconomic condition in which fiscal imperatives — persistent deficits and rising public debt — begin to influence or constrain monetary policy.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Macro ViewMacro View
Gross Capital Formation: Your New Favorite KPI That Actually Predicts Winners
Sep 02, 2025

Gross Capital Formation: Your New Favorite KPI That Actually Predicts Winners

Economic growth does not happen by accident. It is the result of deliberate choices by individuals, institutions, and governments to foster a productive environment that channels savings into investments that power long-term prosperity.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Macro ViewMacro View
Powell's Signal: A Soft Landing... Off a Cliff?
Aug 26, 2025

Powell's Signal: A Soft Landing... Off a Cliff?

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has sent his clearest signal yet that interest rate cuts may be imminent.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Macro ViewMacro View
M2 Infinity and Beyond
Aug 19, 2025

M2 Infinity and Beyond

In August 2025, the U.S. money supply (M2) has officially reached an all-time high, climbing back to pre-disinflation levels following a brief contraction in 2022–2023.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Macro ViewMacro View
U.S. Goldfinger: Trump’s Swiss Tariff Twist Hits Global Nerve
Aug 12, 2025

U.S. Goldfinger: Trump’s Swiss Tariff Twist Hits Global Nerve

In a stunning escalation of his “America First” trade strategy, former U.S. President Donald Trump has imposed a 39% tariff on imports from Switzerland, including gold — a decision already reverberating through global markets.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Macro ViewMacro View
Transatlantic Tariffs, American Optics
Aug 05, 2025

Transatlantic Tariffs, American Optics

A Deal, But No Final Resolution: Interpreting the EU–US Trade Agreement

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Macro ViewMacro View
The Importance of Floating Exchange Rates and Flexible Exchange Markets for Absorbing External Shocks in Developing Countries: The Cases of Colombia and Ecuador
Jul 29, 2025

The Importance of Floating Exchange Rates and Flexible Exchange Markets for Absorbing External Shocks in Developing Countries: The Cases of Colombia and Ecuador

How the case of Ecuador and Colombia teaches us about the importance of flexibility in the exchange markets during "good" and "bad" times.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Macro ViewMacro View
Receding Recession Fears
Jul 22, 2025

Receding Recession Fears

A Shift in Business Confidence and Investment Momentum.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Macro ViewMacro View
Trump’s Tariff Gamble: Inflation Risks Linger Beneath Consumer Optimism
Jul 15, 2025

Trump’s Tariff Gamble: Inflation Risks Linger Beneath Consumer Optimism

Consumer inflation expectations are cooling—but the tariff storm may just be warming up.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
Macro ViewMacro View
When High Rates Stop Talking
Jul 08, 2025

When High Rates Stop Talking

Rethinking Monetary Signals in a Fractured Market.

Gaston Brizuela Bosio
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